M4 Money Supply (GBP) !
M4 Money is widely referred as "broad money" or simply "money supply". The M4 Money Supply released by the Bank of England measures all the sterling in circulation, encompassing notes and coins as well as money held in bank accounts. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation, as monetary expansion adds pressure to the exchange rates. An acceleration of the M4 money is considered as positive for the GBP, whereas a decline is negative.
Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (GBP) !
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by both the Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply and the NTC Economics captures business conditions in the manufacturing sector. As the manufacturing sector dominates a large part of total GDP, the Manufacturing PMI is an important indicator of business conditions and the overall economic condition in UK. A result above 50 signals is bullish for the GBP, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.
Consumer Price Index (EUR) !!
released by the Eurostat captures the changes in the price of goods and services. The CPI is a significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the Euro Zone. A high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude which will be positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index (USD) !!
The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis is an average amount of money that consumers spend in a month. "Core" excludes seasonally volatile products such as food and energy in order to capture an accurate calculation of the expenditure. It is a significant indicator of inflation. A high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is bearish.
Gross Domestic Product (CAD) !!!
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Canada. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Canadian economic activity and health. A rising trend has a positive effect on the CAD, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish) for the CAD.
Personal Income (USD) !
The Personal Income released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce measures the total income received by individuals, from all sources including wages and salaries, interest, dividends, rent, workers' compensation, proprietors' earnings, and transfer payments. This figure can provide insight on the US employment situation. A high reading is positive for the USD, whereas a low reading is negative.
Personal Spending (USD) !!!
The Personal Spending released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce is an indicator that measures the total expenditure by individuals. The level of spending can be used as an indicator of consumer optimism. It is also considered as a measure of economic growth: While the Personal spending stimulates inflationary pressures, it could lead to rise interest rates. A high reading is positive (or Bullish) for the USD.
Construction Spending (USD) !
The Construction Spending released by the US Census Bureau is an indicator that measures the total amount of spending in the US on all types of construction. The residential construction component is useful for predicting future national new home sales and mortgage origination volume. A high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.
ISM Manufacturing (USD) !!!
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in US. A result above 50 is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as negative (or bearish).
ISM Non-Manufacturing (USD) !!!
The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) shows business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector. It is worth noting that the non-manufacturing sector does not influence, either positively or negatively, the GDP as much as the ISM Manufacturing does. A result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the USD
RBA Interest Rate Decision (AUD) !!!
RBA Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia. If the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the AUD. Likewise, if the RBA has a dovish view on the Australian economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish
BoC Interest Rate Decision (CAD) !!!
BoC Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Bank of Canada. If the BoC is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the CAD. Likewise, if the BoC has a dovish view on the Canadian economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish
BoE Interest Rate Decision (GBP) !!!
BoE Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Bank of England. If the BoE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the GBP. Likewise, if the BoE has a dovish view on the UK economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish
ECB Interest Rate Decision (EUR) !!!
ECB Interest Rate Decision is announced by the European Central Bank. If the ECB is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the EUR. Likewise, if the ECB has a dovish view on the European economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish
Pending Home Sales (USD) !!
The Pending Home Sales released by the National Association of Realtors is a leading indicator of trends of the housing market in the US It captures residential housing contract activity of existing single-family homes. As the housing market is considered as a sensitive factor to the US economy, it generates some volatility for the USD. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
ABC/Washington Post Consumer Confidence (USD) !
The ABC/Washington Post Consumer Confidence released by ABC News and the Washington Post captures the level of confidence that individuals have in economic activity reflecting respondents' evaluations of their personal financial situation. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Nationwide Consumer Confidence (GBP) !!
The Nationwide Consumer Confidence captures the level of confidence that individuals have in current and future UK's economy. A high level of consumer confidence stimulates economic expansion while a low level drives to economic downturn. A high reading is also positive for the GBP, while a low reading is negative.
Purchasing Manager Index Services (EUR) !!
The Services PMI released by the Markit Economics interviews German executives on the status of sales, employment, and their outlook. Because the performance of the German service sector is extremely consistent over time, services does not impact final GDP figures as much as the more volatile figure on the manufacturing sector. Any reading above 50 signals expansion, while a reading under 50 shows contraction
BRC Shop Price Index (GBP) !
The British Retail Consortium (BRC) Shop Price Index measures price changes in the popular retail outlets in the UK. The changes in the SPI are widely followed as an indicator for inflationary pressures. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
ADP Employment Change (USD) !!
The Employment Change released by the Automatic Data Processing, Inc is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in the US Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending which stimulates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish
Retail Sales ( EUR) !!
The Retail Sales released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland is a measure of changes in sales of the German retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales.The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. The positive economic growth anticipates "Bullish" for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish, for the EUR
ECB Trichet's Speech (EUR) !!!
The European Central Bank's president Jean Claude Trichet was born in 1942, Paris. He graduated from the University of Paris in the facility of economics. In 2003 he became the president of the European Central Bank. He gives a press conference as to how the ECB observes the current European economy and the value of EUR. His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend. If he shows a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while a dovish is seen as negative (or bearish).
Nonfarm Productivity (USD) !!
The Non-farm Productivity released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the US Department of Labor shows the output per Hour of labor worked. Non-farm Productivity indicates the overall business health in the US, which has an influence on GDP. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).
Factory Orders (USD) !!
The Factory orders released by the US Census Bureau is a measure of the total orders of durable and nondurable goods such as shipments (sales), inventories and orders at the manufacturing level which can offer insight into inflation and growth in the manufacturing sector. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Producer Price Index ( GBP) !!
The Producer Price Index Input released by the National Statistics is a monthly measurement of the rate of inflation experienced by the UK manufactures when buying goods and services. It captures changes in the average price of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by the UK Manufactures. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Average Hourly Earnings (USD) !!!
The Average Hourly Earning released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the US Department of Labor is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative
Nonfarm Payrolls (USD) !!!
The most important piece of data contained in the employment report generally and the establishment survey specifically is the non-farm payrolls released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the US Department of Labor. The nonfarm payrolls measure the number of people on the payrolls of all non-agricultural businesses. The monthly changes in payrolls can be excessively volatile. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Unemployment Rate (USD) !!!
The Unemployment Rate released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the US Department of Labor is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the US economy. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).
Consumer Credit (USD) !
The Consumer Credit released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve is an amount of money that individuals borrowed. It shows if consumers can afford large expenses, which can fuel economic growth. However, a high figure may also indicate that the economy is overheating, as consumers borrow in order to live beyond their means. A high reading is seen as positive (or Bullish) for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative.
SNB Interest Rate Decision (CHF) !!!
The Swiss National Bank conducts the country’s monetary policy as an independent central bank. It is obliged by the Constitution and by statute to act in accordance with the interests of the country as a whole. Its primary goal is to ensure price stability, while taking due account of economic developments. In so doing, it creates an appropriate environment for economic growth
Trade Balance (EUR) !!
The Trade Balance released by the Eurostat is a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows trade surplus, while a negative value shows trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the EUR. If a steady demand in exchange for exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the EUR
ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (EUR) !!!
The Economic Sentiment published by the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung measures the institutional investor sentiment, reflecting the difference between the share of investors that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. An optimistic view is considered as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative (or bearish).
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (USD) !
The survey of manufactures in New York conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It indicates the overall manufactures in the United Sates. A positive result indicates bullish for US Dollar, while a negative result shows poor growth of US Dollar.
Bank of England Minutes (GBP) !!!
The minutes of the BoE MPC meetings are published two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes give a full account of the policy discussion, including differences of view. They also record the votes of the individual members of the Committee. If the BoE is hawkish about the inflationary outlook for the economy, then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the GBP
Import Price Index (USD) !!
The Import Price Index released by the US Department of Labor informs the changes in the price of imported products into the US.The higher the cost of imported goods, the stronger the effect they will have on inflation, redunding in a higher probability of a rate rise. Therefore, a high reading should be taken as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Industrial Production (USD) !!
The Industrial Production released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve shows the volume of production of US industries such as factories and manufacturing. Up trend is regarded as inflationary which may anticipate interest rates to rise. If High industrial production growth comes out, this may generate a positive sentiment (or bullish) for the USD.
Fed's Bernanke Speech (USD) !!!
The Fed Governor Ben Shalom Bernanke was born in 1953. He graduated from Harvard University and a Ph.D. in economics in 1979 from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. In 2006 he became the Chairman of the Federal Reserve System. He gives a press conference as to how the Fed observes the current US economy and the value of USD. His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.
FOMC Minutes (USD) !!!
FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.
BoJ Interest Rate Decision (JPY) !!!
BoJ Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Bank of Japan. If the BoJ is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the JPY. Likewise, if the BoJ has a dovish view on the Japanese economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is negative, or bearish.
Continuing Jobless Claims (USD) !!
The Counting Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor measure the number of individuals who are unemployed and are currently receiving unemployment benefits. It presents the strength in the labor market. A rise in this indicator has negative implications for consumer spending which discourage economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as negative, or bearish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as positive, or bullish.
Initial Jobless Claims (USD) !!
The Initial Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor is a measure of the number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance. In other words, it provides a measure of strength in the labor market. A larger than expected number indicates weakness in this market which influences the strength and direction of the US economy. Therefore, a decreasing number should be taken as positive or bullish for the USD.
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (USD) !!
The Producer Price Index ex Food & energy released by the Bureau of Labor statistics, Department of Labor measures the average changes in prices in primary markets of the US by producers of commodities in all states of processing. Those volatile products such as food and energy are excluded in order to capture an accurate calculation. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (USD) !
The Philadelphia Fed Survey is a spread index of manufacturing conditions (movements of manufacturing) within the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. This survey, served as an indicator of manufacturing sector trends, is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index (Institute for Supply Management) and the index of industrial production. It is also used as a forecast of The ISM Index. An above-the-expectaitons reading is seen as positive.
IFO - Business Climate (EUR) !!!
This German business sentiment index published by the CESifo Group is closely watched as an early indicator of current conditions and business expectations in the Euro Zone. The Institute surveys more than 7,000 enterprises on their assessment of the business situation and their short-term planning. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
IFO - Expectations (EUR) !!!
The IFO Expectations released by the CESifo Group is closely watched as an early indicator of current conditions and business expectations for the next six months, where firms rate the future outlook as better, same, or worse. An optimistic view of those 7,000 business leaders and senior managers is considered as positive, or bullish for the EUR, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative, or bearish.
EIA Crude Oil Stocks change (USD) !!
EIA Crude Oil Stock is a measure of change in crude oil storage and it's released by the Energy Information Administration. This report indicates the oil demand and the price volatility. As the oil prices have an impact on worldwide economy, some volatility for the currencies, specially for the CAD is expected. We have to take into account that Canada is the world's fourteenth largest producer of oil so a strong oil demand appreciates, or is bullish for the CAD
Durable Goods Orders (USD) !!!
The Durable Goods Orders, released by the US Census Bureau, measures the cost of orders received by manufacturers for durable goods, which means goods planned to last for three years or more, such as motor vehicles and appliances. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. The final figure shows the state of US production activity. A high reading is bullish for the USD
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation (USD) !!
The Durable Goods Orders measures, released by the US Census Bureau, the cost of orders received by manufacturers for durable goods, which means goods planned to last for three years or more, excluding the transport sector. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. A high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as Bearish
Retail Trade (JPY) !!
The Retail Trade released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry captures the aggregate sales made through a business location (usually a store) in which the principal activity is the sale of merchandise and related services to the general public, for household or personal consumption. Consumer spending is a key important indicator for the Japanese economy. A high reading is positive for the JPY, while a low reading is negative
Wholesale Sales (CAD) !
The Wholesale Sales released by the Statistic Canada shows value of sales made by wholesalers in Canada. A growing number in wholesales indicates increases in retail trade and consumption, that is seen as positive or bullish for the CAD, while a declining number indicates the weakened retail sectors, consumption, and the economy in Canada, that is seen as negative or bearish for the currency
Fed Interest Rate Decision (USD) !!!
The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate. This interest rate affects the whole range of interest rates set by commercial banks, building societies and other institutions for their own savers and borrowers. It also tends to affect the exchange rate. If the Fed is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the USD.
Bank of Japan Monthly Economic Survey (JPY) !!
The BoJ Monthly Economic Survey released by the Bank of Japan presents a study of economic movements in Japan. It reviews economic developments inside and outside of Japan and indicate a sign of new fiscal policy. Any changes in this report tend to affect the JPY volatility. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the JPY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Jobless Rate (JPY) !!
The Jobless Rates released by the Ministry of Health, Labour and welfare is a measure of the percentage of unemployed in Japan. A high percentage indicates weakness in the labor market which influences the strength and direction of the Japanese economy. Therefore, a low percentage should be taken as positive or bullish for the JPY.
Tokyo Consumer Price Index (JPY) !!
The Tokyo Consumer Price Index is released by the Statistics Bureau and it's a measure of price movements obtained by comparison of the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The index captures inflation in Tokyo. CPI is the most significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends. The purchase power of JPY is dragged down by inflation. A high reading is seen as positive.
Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (JPY) !!
The Tokyo Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics Bureau is a measure of price movements obtained by comparison of the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. These volatile products such as food and energy are excluded in order to capture an accurate calculation. CPI is the most significant way to measure changes in purchasing trends. The purchase power of JPY is dragged down by inflation. A high reading is seen as positive for the JPY.
RBA Meeting's Minutes (AUD) !!
The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia meetings are published two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes give a full account of the policy discussion, including differences of view. They also record the votes of the individual members of the Committee. If the RBA is hawkish about the inflationary outlook for the economy, then the markets see a higher possibility of a rate increase, and that is positive for the AUD.
Westpac Leading Index (AUD) !!
The Westpac Leading Index released by the Melbourne Institute tracks nine gauges of economic activity, including share prices and telephone installations, to provide an indication of how the economy will perform. It tends to have an impact on the AUD volatility. The more positive the reading, the better for the currency, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish)
Real Retail Sales (AUD) !!
The Real Retail Sales released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the Australian retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales.The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. The positive economic growth anticipates "Bullish" for the AUD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish, for the AUD.
CBI Industrial Trends Survey - Orders (GBP) !!
The CBI Industrial Trends Survey is released by the Confederation of British Industry and gives expert qualitative opinion from senior manufacturing executives, on past and expected trends in output, exports, prices, costs, investment intentions, business confidence and capacity utilization. If those opinions show a hawkish outlook in the manufacturing sector, that is seen as positive, or bullish, for the GBP.